Economic wrap: nonfarm payrolls before Aussie retail sales – Westpac

Analysts at Westpac explained an economic wrap.

Key Quotes:

“US non-farm payrolls for January recorded a solid but the detail does not compel the Fed to put March on the table. A healthy +227k to start the year for payrolls, above consensus at +180k, and mixed detail – average hourly earnings printed +0.1% (0.3% expected)  – while the prior month was revised down 0.2ppts to +0.2%, painting an overall more benign wages picture. Annual benchmark revisions cloud the story. The unemployment rate rose +0.1ppt to 4.8% as participation rose from 62.7% to 62.9%, but that appears to be mostly a function of updated population estimates in the annual benchmark revisions. Household employment fell -30k for example but excluding the updated population controls would have risen a very strong 457k.

On the plus side, month to month payrolls changes in the last few months now portray a firming trend. The 3m average payrolls gain stands at +183k in Jan up handily from +148k last month, the 12m average has also stabilised at +195k, up from +187k. Mild winter weather through the US in Jan does not appear to have flattered the +227k Jan gain, those unable to work due to weather was +395k vs a 405k average for Jan.

The industry detail shows solid above-trend gains in a number of categories too: construction +36k (vs 3m avg +15k), retail trade +46 (vs 3m avg +4k), and finance +32k (vs 3m avg +14k).

Average hourly earnings paint a less threatening picture, up just 0.1%. Downward revisions in the last couple months along with a higher base effect from a year ago leave the annual rate at 2.5%. Last month, before revisions and base effects that figure was +2.9%. The soft read here is all the more unusual given minimum wage increases across a bunch of states took effect in January.

Underemployment rose from 9.2% to 9.4% but again benchmark revisions are a part of the story.

Economic Event Risks Today

Australia has retail sales data which will be the focus of markets during the domestic session. A 0.3% gain in sales for December is expected.”

You may be interested

Buy Bitcoins in Europe With Bitmoney.eu
bitmoney.eu
shares301 views
bitmoney.eu
shares301 views

Buy Bitcoins in Europe With Bitmoney.eu

Brian Evans - Aug 10, 2017

Want to purchase bitcoins? Look no further! Buying bitcoins has never been easier, with Bitmoney.eu. Bitmoney.eu makes the process of buying Bitcoin easy and efficient, saving customers…

Goldman Sachs: ‘Real Dollars Are at Work’ in Cryptocurrency Markets
Bitcoin
shares379 views1
Bitcoin
shares379 views1

Goldman Sachs: ‘Real Dollars Are at Work’ in Cryptocurrency Markets

Brian Evans - Aug 10, 2017

Goldman Sachs has published a question-and-answer report focused on cryptocurrencies in which it suggests that clients should be keeping a closer eye on the market. According to…

Bitcoin’s Present Bubble Might Actually be the Beginning of Mainstream Adoption
Bitcoin
shares378 views
Bitcoin
shares378 views

Bitcoin’s Present Bubble Might Actually be the Beginning of Mainstream Adoption

Brian Evans - Aug 09, 2017

Bitcoin’s enthusiasts are torn between whether to celebrate Bitcoin’s arrival in the foothills of mass adoption, or to lament the upcoming burst that always happens with asset…

Most from this category

%d bloggers like this: